Jump to content
SubSpace Forum Network

Plutorus + ufotable squad analysis/predictions part 1


Recommended Posts

Posted

Squad predictions and analysis for season #whateverthisis. We were lazy so it's in chat form and it went a surprisingly long time so we had to take it to a Part 2 to come later. All controversial opinions are courtesy of Plut so please message him if you feel disrespected. Hope you enjoy:

 

 
    ufotable> ok
    ufotable> hmmm
    ufotable> is there a list of squads somewhere
    Plutorus> ok
    Plutorus> http://svssubspace.com/index.php?page=Rosters
    Plutorus> im gonna use that
    Plutorus> should be up to date for the active squads for the most part
    ufotable> Ok lets start with Assassins
    ufotable> Looks like much the same roster as last season minus 3 and Ozn
    Plutorus> and rage, but he's prob afk
    ufotable> oh good call
    ufotable> Rage Sai Nacre and Dev/Mop/Sika/Kdak will probably be fine from a teamwork standpoint
    ufotable> It's easier to be grouped and have teamwork when you're pushing the other team all over the map
    ufotable> as evidenced in the finals against FTN last season
    ufotable> even with the prac disparity
    ufotable> How do you think they'll do this season?
    Plutorus> three, ozn and bhang are all big losses, but as long as they have the nacre/saiyan pairing, they have the surrounding cast to take my #1 ranking
    ufotable> oh I forgot bhang went to EGO
    ufotable> did you actually do some prep for this and rank the squads? now I feel unprepared
    Plutorus> I think we're in a league where you really need 2 elites to win, and nacre/saiyan fits the bill for them. I think nacre is the best player overall too
    Plutorus> backarrow next?
    ufotable> not done yet!
    Plutorus> kk
    ufotable> I'd also pick them as #1
    ufotable> though I'm not sure who's active and who's not
    ufotable> Does Jae even play anymore? I haven't seen Sika in months
    Plutorus> yeah, activity is a big key for them
    ufotable> Actives could just be Nacre, Sai, Mop, Dev and.... Seven/Penguin?
    ufotable> If you count coming in and saying "U LIFF" to be activity
    Plutorus> huge, I'd agree
    ufotable> Worst case scenario
    ufotable> lets say only Nacre, Sai, Dev and a random 4th are active this season
    ufotable> are they still #1?
    Plutorus> yes
    Plutorus> unless that 4th is penguin every single game, or important games
    ufotable> lol
    ufotable> you know he can bench 1000000 lbs 40x
    ufotable> don't underestimate
    ufotable> they're #1 for me too, even in that worst case
    Plutorus> bebebebebebeb
    ufotable> ok, BackArrow?
    ufotable> you're up first
    Plutorus> ok, backarrow has lost a few key members lately, in savage and fedu
    ufotable> That's right - I did see Sav hanging out with Llamas
    ufotable> actually, he played against us this past week :(
    ufotable> Fedu is so solid in all aspects and makes the right play more often than not
    ufotable> big loss I agree
    Plutorus> not only loss from talent standpoint, which it is, but activity as well; savage and fedu are both active
    ufotable> Doesn't Sav kinda go in and out from an  activity standpoint?
    Plutorus> backarrow needs to recruit some people fast...or they are heavily reliant on a small core to show up every week
    ufotable> BackArrow is definitely one of the more active practicing squads
    ufotable> I see Tuna, Candy, Sabre, Plare, Arc, Jones, and Hook almost daily
    ufotable> 7 solid actives I think is more than most squads can say - not sure I agree on the aggressive need to recruit
    Plutorus> hmm, I havent seen Jones much.
    ufotable> maybe not so much lately hmm
    ufotable> so 6 actives
    Plutorus> sabre and plare seem iffy to me, although both are solid. Hook is probably a bit too tentative to hang with a faster paced game right now
    Plutorus> I see sabre and plare seldom, although they seem more active this week, agreed
    ufotable> I think you touch on an important point
    ufotable> The pace on those players vary wildly
    Plutorus> yea
    ufotable> Sabre does lag behind, not necessarily in terms of talent but in preferred pace
    ufotable> Their potential top 4 of Tuna/Arc/Plare/Sabre (or Candy) varies so much in speed
    Plutorus> its really true, I can see them having pacing issues
    ufotable> and that probably doesn't hurt them against lower level opponents, but starting with Llama level its a problem
    ufotable> That being said, significant veteran moxy on this squad
    Plutorus> one worry I have with a particular key vet is Arctos - he looks bored to me
    Plutorus> his top game is great, but does he care enough anymore?
    ufotable> Good observation - he's not nearly as strong as I remember
    ufotable> not even close
    ufotable> I think that question is the key to their season, how much does he want it?
    Plutorus> yeah agreed
    Plutorus> he can help tuna carry if he's 100%
    ufotable> I think they're only going to go as far as Tuna and Arc take them
    ufotable> Both in their primes - this is a fearsome squad
    Plutorus> definitely
    Plutorus> ok, beastfu?
    ufotable> the other thing I like about BA, no one dies for free
    ufotable> they force you to beat them
    ufotable> (or the bot to beat them)
    ufotable> ok Beastfu :)
    ufotable> Speaking to GT, these are a lot of RL friends of his from LoL
    ufotable> with a couple of old faces like Unoid
    ufotable> what are your thoughts?
    Plutorus> I love that gold teeth started up a new squad for newer leaguers, but I worry they won't survive much longer.
    ufotable> I know they no showed this past Sunday
    ufotable> was it daylight savings or something else?
    Plutorus> I think it was
    ufotable> The roster is only 7 people so it's vital that everyone is active
    ufotable> SS CRIPS showed us it can be done :)
    Plutorus> Bukkwild!!!
    ufotable> yes!
    ufotable> ok
    ufotable> quick aside
    ufotable> can you name one other guy on CRIPS?
    Plutorus> chronic and macksksksks
    ufotable> damn
    Plutorus> $
    ufotable> I couldn't come up with anyone :) nice call
    ufotable> ok back to beastfu
    ufotable> I love that they're a new squad as well and the learning curve is going to be steeper this season for the new guys
    ufotable> .*steep
    ufotable> hope they stick around all season
    ufotable> and don't get too discouraged by the losing
    ufotable> because the losses are coming :(
    Plutorus> yeah, they are going to struggle winning a single game
    ufotable> I've seen Rhino practicing a lot
    ufotable> he can play and has potential
    ufotable> Comb has played in league, GT has been around for ~15 years
    ufotable> Unoid has been around
    Plutorus> and then?
    ufotable> cann is a pubber right?
    ufotable> and I think I've seen spinning in pub?
    Plutorus> not sure, only recently saw him enter the scene. he's eager (which goes a long way) but will struggle to last for 10+ minutes I think
    Plutorus> gold teeth to be active, and they need to recruit more pilots now, today, tomorrow, immediately to pull this off. fill the roster
    ufotable> I think I played a late night 2v2 with cann against Tom Petty and another pubber
    ufotable> he has an offensive game, but survivability is an issue
    ufotable> I agree
    ufotable> we'll leave it off with that, they need 2 more active pilots
    Plutorus> yea
    Plutorus> btw, credit to gold teeth
    ufotable> yes
    ufotable> all credit to GT
    Plutorus> league needed a squad like this, and he did it
    ufotable> If even one of those new guys sticks
    ufotable> he'll have done more for the game than most
    Plutorus> yes
    ufotable> Critical Mass
    ufotable> You're up first as an ex-CM member
    Plutorus> Haha, great squad with Three and Ozn leading the way. I really enjoyed flying with them, and I've got them ranked as my #2 team overall
    ufotable> Whoa
    ufotable> ahead of OUTLAWS (rebranded FTN)?
    Plutorus> yep
    ufotable> wow lets explore that for a second
    ufotable> head to head, why do you think CM is better?
    Plutorus> I'm not sure how active Kingnewbie is anymore
    Plutorus> that would change the equation, but I havent seen him around
    ufotable> He suffered an injury a couple months ago right?
    Plutorus> yeah, he's recovering from an accident.
    ufotable> That could be tough you're right
    ufotable> If KN isn't active, I'd give the edge to CM as well
    Plutorus> CM is going to be aggressive
    Plutorus> I think three washes with bike
    Plutorus> both in my top 5 players, btw
    ufotable> I'd take 3 over bike because he plays a more important function within his team
    ufotable> hard to find a true #1 pilot that will create and force the action
    ufotable> .*harder
    ufotable> vs. an elite elite finisher and support pilot
    Plutorus> three definitely will force the action, yea
    ufotable> Since you've been a slut and have been on both squads
    Plutorus> they are both special players
    ufotable> I won't press you on that =P
    ufotable> you can be all middle of the road
    Plutorus> haha no its ok
    ufotable> Top 4 for CM? :)
    Plutorus> I rate them about equally tbh, I think bike can force the action if needed
    Plutorus> I think in his mind tactically, he doesnt feel the need to. But I've seem him take over games when necessary
    ufotable> TVB's positioning is so strong as well, he's ALWAYS in the right place to make the play
    ufotable> and he doesn't miss on chances
    Plutorus> Top 4 for CM....three, ozn, antihuman and 7th/coarse/devious
    ufotable> I agree, I would take 3, Ozn, 7th, and Antihuman
    Plutorus> Jack is a favorite, I think he's a season or two removed from being a really big player
    Plutorus> if he sticks around
    ufotable> I haven't seen him in a couple months unfortunately
    ufotable> He was #1 in TW right?
    Plutorus> yea
    Plutorus> he was around last month
    Plutorus> alot
    ufotable> hope he sticks and keeps practicing hard
    ufotable> tremendous talent I agree
    Plutorus> but last seen more than 10 days ago
    Plutorus> maybe aliased
    ufotable> I don't trust coarse or Devious in big games
    ufotable> the talent is clearly there, but both have styles that don't feel solid to me
    ufotable> especially in a give and take championship type game where each death matters
    ufotable> I know you're friends with both so no comment is fine by you :)
    Plutorus> im looking at outlaws roster
    Plutorus> I might change my rankings by the end of this log lol
    Plutorus> if KN is around, I'd clearly rank them higher
    ufotable> We'll get another chance to discuss that when we hit OUTLAWS
    ufotable> I'm also nervous if 3 tries to do too much
    ufotable> years ago when he used to bang his head against Assassins/Intrepid season after season (mad respect for that)
    ufotable> he received an unfair label of a choker because as talented as he is, he felt a need to make everything happen
    ufotable> If he takes early deaths in a playoff game, CM could be in trouble
    Plutorus> yes
    Plutorus> three is definitely key for CM
    ufotable> everyone else is repleacable for me other than 3
    ufotable> ready to move on?>
    Plutorus> ok, discombobulate next!
    Plutorus> hardest team to .roster?
    Plutorus> I can never spell it
    ufotable> Clearly the .roster difficulty champs
    ufotable> Solar has taken to calling them Disco Queens
    Plutorus> I like disco boobs even better!
    ufotable> oooh good call
    ufotable> Ok so
    ufotable> Who is Mclaren?
    Plutorus> good question. Not sure, but he's solid
    ufotable> dude can play
    ufotable> but he needs to stay out of lanc
    Plutorus> in our preseason game vs disco last sunday, they did a great job of using lanc and luring us to boxes
    Plutorus> my team is a little too new to 4v4 to really understand how bad of an idea that was
    ufotable> you mean bombs that bounce twice
    ufotable> in enclosed spaces?
    Plutorus> but time and again, they would trick us into heading down there
    ufotable> ya that's a recipe for trouble
    ufotable> Top 4?
    Plutorus> mindriot is playing fantastic lately
    ufotable> and how do you see them doing this season?
    Plutorus> mindriot, mclaren, rickdog and HMMM
    Plutorus> not sure who allelujah is
    Plutorus> I think they will do well, rickdog is really improving
    Plutorus> wahini is clearly the key
    Plutorus> you?
    ufotable> Wahini is old school :)
    ufotable> I'd take MR, Mclaren, Pog, and Rick/Acid
    ufotable> I agree, Mindriot has shown dimensions lately, especially in a spider, that I didn't expect
    ufotable> he's absolutely key for his team
    ufotable> When pushing or in a fairly even game, I think they're fine
    ufotable> but no one on that roster is a strong team player to me and I worry for them in a game against an aggressive opponent
    Plutorus> I think they have a shot against teams like backarrow and ego
    ufotable> Hmmmm
    ufotable> how much of a shot
    Plutorus> providing mindriot continues to play at this level
    ufotable> I would give them a puncher's chance
    Plutorus> yeah, thats probably accurate
    Plutorus> agreed
    ufotable> by the way, am I crazy to think that BackArrow reminds me of Jon Fitch
    Plutorus> Jon Fitch! One of my fav mma fighters
    ufotable> mine too :)
    Plutorus> I think he's the only MMA fighter I follow on twitter
    ufotable> lol
    Plutorus> and I LOVE that comparison
    Plutorus> backarrow tries to wear you down
    Plutorus> and win a decision
    ufotable> yup
    ufotable> they don't beat themselves, and keep grinding and grinding
    ufotable> reminds of every Fitch match in existence
    ufotable> ok back to Disco
    ufotable> where do you see them finishing this season?
    Plutorus> I see them battling it out with backarrow, ego, dropships, sfe
    ufotable> They beat SFE convincingly in preseason round 1
    Plutorus> you started Mfa :p but we'll get to that later
    ufotable> MR lured us into what felt like 30 bad spots
    Plutorus> they outmanaged us too last sunday, so maybe thats a strength for them. smart play
    ufotable> I see them finishing below BA and EGO, neck and neck with Dropships
    ufotable> ready to move on?
    Plutorus> ya, dropships next. All you :)
    ufotable> After Dropships I need to get back to work and we'll take this to a part 2 later
    Plutorus> k
    ufotable> ok Dropships
    ufotable> interesting mix of Port Llast from last season
    ufotable> and Alpha Reunion
    ufotable> 4 captains on a squad with 10 people could be too much cooks in the kitchen
    ufotable> Who is really the captain
    ufotable> .*many not much
    Plutorus> sven/nude
    ufotable> I thought you were keeping out of this!
    Plutorus> im not sure why I have captain lol
    Plutorus> oops!
    ufotable> lol
    ufotable> Top 4 for me: Plut, Sven, Harm, suicidal dentist
    ufotable> with Pryde as key sub
    ufotable> any subs after that are going to have glaring holes in their game or in their experience
    ufotable> and I'm not sure how active sui is
    ufotable> he was always on and off for NW
    ufotable> and I haven't seen him in a week or two
    ufotable> With their top 5, I'd pick them to finish above Disco boobs
    ufotable> but that is probably the most compelling matchup of the season
    ufotable> (other than the 3 championship contenders of course)
    ufotable> rep, Hall, light all have strong potential
    ufotable> Light is an all arounder who needs more reps and dueling practice to sharpen up his game and ship control
    ufotable> Rep has good aim and control, but he and Hall both suffer from sometimes playing like they're in a duelbox or 2v2 box
    ufotable> and it's not the same game in 4v4
    ufotable> I think Sven is going to explode this season
    ufotable> the talent is there, he's driven as hell, and the improvement over the last 3 months has been exponential
    Plutorus> he just exploded reading that line
    ufotable> :(
    Plutorus> oops! hi sven
    ufotable> Not sure who Harm is, but I know he's there in pracs I play against his team
    ufotable> he's a factor
    ufotable> Plut is above average in every aspects and a brilliant team player - not many pilots I'd want either on LL or playing in a key game. He's going to make the right decision and be in the right place
    ufotable> If the top pilots gel correctly and guys (SVEN) make the leap, I see them finishing above Disco and competing with BA and EGO.
    ufotable> last thoughts plut before we close this log and take it to a part 2?
    Plutorus> nope, great stuff. Later tonight?
    ufotable> not sure, we'll figure it out
 

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...